Key takeaway
Chien luoc 6 thang tot nhat la phan bo von tap trung vao thi truong tu thang 11 den thang 4 (mua dong), rut ve tai san an toan hoac giam ty trong tu thang 5 den thang 10 (mua he). Day la bien the he thong hoa cua câu ngon ngu Sell in May.
WHAT
Chien luoc 6 thang tot nhat (Best Six Months / Halloween Strategy) dua tren xu huong lich su cho thay loi tuc thi truong chung khoan trong 6 thang mua dong (thang 11 - thang 4) thuong cao hon 6 thang mua he (thang 5 - thang 10). Nha dau tu ap dung bang cach tang ty trong co phieu vao thang 11, giam ty trong hoac chuyen sang tai san it rui ro hon vao thang 5.
WHY/HOW
Co so ly thuyet: nhu cau tien mat tang truoc he, hoat dong cua to chuc giam, mua bao cao nien (dip tet/nam moi). Tren thuc te: hieu qua khong dong deu - mot so nam xu huong dao nguoc hoan toan do bien co vu (khung hoang, phuc hoi). Can ket hop voi phan tich vi mo va ky thuat hon la ap dung may moc.
Related
Notes
- 2023-05
- VN-Index 2001-2021: xu huong 6 thang mua dong tot hon mua he chi dung 11/20 nam; bung no ro nhat 2006-2007, 2018, 2021; dao nguoc 2009 va 2020